Another year another Big F YOU to Bon Jovi.
Clark Collis
Yes, it’s that time of year again. On September 28, the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame will announce the list of nominations for 2011 induction, and countless arguments will erupt over who got nominated and didn’t deserve it, who didn’t get nominated and did deserve it, and what this whole thang we call “rock and roll” means anyway.
But why wait until then? Who do you think should be nominated (remembering that an act must have released its first single or album at least 25 years ago)? The list of eligible acts is a long one and includes T.Rex, Bon Jovi, The Smiths, Rush, Joan Jett, Ice-T, Duran Duran, Beastie Boys, Peter Tosh, Alice Cooper, and last year’s unsuccessful nominees KISS, Donna Summer, and the Red Hot Chili Peppers.
Personally, if I had any say in the matter, I’d nominate cult British folkies Fairport Convention. But, hey, maybe that’s one of the reasons I don’t have a say in the matter.
What about you?
Here are some of the odds on favorites with my editorial comments:
Future Rock Legends predicts the following twelve eligible artists will be on the 2011 ballot:
* Beastie Boys - Beastie Boys are a lock for induction... the only question is when.
Current Induction Chances: 82% (no Sleep til induction)
* Red Hot Chili Peppers - The Rock Hall nominated RHCP last year in their first eligible year and will likely keep nominating them until they get inducted.
Current Induction Chances: 64%
(The RHCP first few hits were covers {Higher Ground & Roller Coaster of Love] this in itself pisses me off.)
* Leon Russell - Elton John is said to be lobbying strongly for Leon Russell's induction into the Rock Hall. The opinion of inductees is strongly considered by the Committee (Elvis Costello's lobbying for Wanda Jackson is a recent example).
Current Induction Chances: 8%
* T. Rex - It's time for the Rock Hall to turn its attention to the 70's.
Current Induction Chances: 57%
* LL Cool J - Like the Chili Peppers, LL Cool J was nominated in his first eligible year in 2009. With no slam dunk hip-hop acts becoming eligible this year, LL Cool J will get another chance on the ballot.
Current Induction Chances: 44% (Well if Ladies Love Cool James gets it at least there will be sexy at the event.)
* Sting - This is the first chance the Nominating Committee has had to vote on Sting (for some reason the Rock Hall didn't consider Sting eligible based on his 1982 single, "Spread a Little Happiness," and instead considers 1985's Dream of the Blue Turtles his first solo release).
Current Induction Chances: 53% (Ok, I feel if you're in once you don't deserve to get in again for awhile, Like Paul McCartney got in with the Beatles and with Wings who were not NEARLY as groundbreaking or revolutionary (no pun intended) as The Beatles. Sting should go back to the rainforest and have a Tantric Orgy)
* Donna Summer - Summer has been nominated two out of the last three years.
Current Induction Chances: 56% (SERIOUSLY?? Hot Stuff is Disco? When did this become the American Pop Music Hall Of Fame)
* Joe Tex - As we mentioned last year, Dave Marsh wrote the bio for Joe Tex over at allmusic.com. ("His raspy-voiced, jackleg preacher style also laid some of the most important parts of rap's foundation. He is, arguably, the most underrated of all the '60s soul performers associated with Atlantic Records...") Tex was previously nominated in 1998, 2006 and 2007.
Current Induction Chances: 5%
* The Chantels
Current Induction Chances: 9% (I have the Chantels - Maybe on my itunes its amazing)
* Johnny Burnette and the Rock N Roll Trio - It's difficult to predict which of the backlogged '50s and '60s performers the Nominating Committee will choose to feature in any particular year.
Current Induction Chances: 15%
* Devo - As mentioned above with T. Rex, it's time for the Rock Hall to dig into the '70s and honor the artists ahead of their time.
Current Induction Chances: 40% (Whip It Whip It Good)
* Yes - Yes could be the nominee chosen by the prog/metal subcommittee this year (they have been close before).
Current Induction Chances: 40% (YES over Rush I hope not, I have mad love for my favorite Canadian Trio)
The "Current Induction Chances" represent the artist's odds of ever being inducted into the Hall of Fame, as calculated by Future Rock Legends and its users.
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